This article was originally published in The Strategist by the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) on 13 June 2019.
For ASPI’s 2019 conference, ‘War in 2025’, I was asked to identify the geopolitical realities that will shape the world of that year. Here I outline some of the strategic constants which—barring major catastrophes—will still most likely be in place in six years’ time.